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Lots of C's today...

12/3/2015

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...or cinemas, computers, convenience stores & CCR. The cinemas part is the final result from Cineworld (CINE) which look very good and in fact the adjusted eps of 24.4p was close to the 25.8p forecast for 2015 and the bumper dividend of 13.5p (+33%) was ahead of the 13.1p forecast for the year to 2015. With the shares up by about 4% to 465p this morning, this leaves them on a fullish looking historic 19x PE with a reasonable 2.9% yield.

The shares had a good run prior to these numbers but they seem well placed with a strong film release schedule for this year, benefits from the merger with Cinema City the Israeli and eastern European cinema chain being upgraded to £5m from £2m and with 20 new cinemas (about 10%) planned.

Thus while they have done well and look a bit expensive now, with consumer confidence and incomes improving, the prospects looking good and upgrades likely they seem like they should be well supported or could still show some further momentum to the upside. Late morning update I see that Numis have upgraded to £90m Pre Tax for this year which I estimate would translate to around 27p of earnings for a 17.5x P/E @ the now 473p price.

The second C today came from Computacenter (CCC)
the independent provider of IT infrastructure and services that enables users which reported final results today. These are somewhat difficult to interpret due to the recent return of capital and resulting share consolidation. Thus the numbers which are adjusted for this don't seem to square with the forecasts, which presumably were not adjusted. Nevertheless there seems to be underlying progress here in the UK and Germany but continued losses in France on the back of poor older contracts and they say a return to profit here is still some way off  and it has led to a write off.

These shares have also risen recently ahead of and post the return of capital and as a result they have enjoyed something of a re-rating. So taking the reported adjusted numbers of 46.8p eps and 19.8p dividend
(although confusingly they also mention 19p in the headlines) this leaves them on a fair looking historic PE rating of 15.4x and a yield of 2.75%, although with the overall operating margins being up to 2.77% the earnings yield comes in at a decent looking 10%.

On balance it seems like a well managed group with a shareholder friendly management, although the operations in Germany and France continue to struggle, they seem confident of making further progress this year. As such I can't honestly say you should rush out and buy it here as I suspect forecasts may reset downwards as the confusion surrounding the consolidation clears, but it would seem like a solid hold as part of a diversified income portfolio.

The final C is C-Stores or convenience stores as mentioned in Morrison's (MRW) final results today. They have taken a write off  and are closing some of these which seems bizarre given they were charging into this last year as they played catch up, obviously they were not discerning enough about the sites they were buying. Apart from that the headline numbers all seem to be reasonably in line with the guidance they set out about a year ago, which is quite an achievement given the industry background.

This saw a big drop in profits as they invested in lowering their prices and it seem this will be on going when the new Chief executive joins next week. It also means, unsurprisingly that they are also cutting the dividend from this years promised 13.65p to a minimum of 5p for next year for a 2.4% yield. So on that basis and given the on going price war etc, in the industry I'm not tempted to buy this one here, although I could see that some might want to buy it as a recovery / new management turnaround play or maybe there's a bad moon rising so here some CCR for you?

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