Compound Income
  • Blog
  • Scores
    • Scores Presentation
  • Portfolio
    • Table of Returns
  • Resources
    • Check list
  • About
  • Contact
  • New Page



Bellway & Anglo Pacific Group

14/10/2014

0 Comments

 
Bellway (BWY) the UK national house builder has announced final results to 31st July 2014 today. As expected given their recent updates and news flow on the sector they reported some very strong numbers which you can read in detail at the link above. The earnings and dividends both came in slightly ahead of forecasts by about 4 to 5%. Other highlights were:
  • NAV of 1118 pence for a price to book of 1.4
  • Operating margin increased 3.6% to 17.2%
  • ROCE up from 12.3% to 19.6%
  • Land bank of 35,434 plots versus houses built this year of 6,851
  • Net cash of £5.1 million

However, they were fairly cautious, as usual, about the outlook projecting just a 10% increase in volumes despite a record order book. This suggests limited room for upgrades to earnings at this stage as forecast already assume turnover rising to that extent or more, unless the reported margins today are higher than analysts had in their forecasts or if they expect further price mix benefits next year.

The shares have responded positively this morning and I continue to like them as they still look good value on around 8x P/E with a 4%+ yield which is 3x covered, expected to grow strongly and is backed up by a strong balance sheet, a conservative management and a decent industry background.

Meanwhile one of my readers (thanks Arthur) pointed out in a comment on a previous post that Anglo Pacific Group (APF) had made it onto a near 10% yield. Well today they have made an announcement about their important Kestrel royalty agreement with Rio Tinto. The bottom line on this is that it improves their cash flow and they also stated:

"We are pleased to see an increase in forecast production from our royalty lands at Kestrel.  This is positive news for our cash flow profile and further underpins the Board's commitment to maintain our dividend for the current year."

So it might be interesting as a contrarian play on mining assets / prices, trading as it does at a discount to book value, with cash on the balance sheet and a new well regarded management team plus a near 10% yield. I guess though there is some question mark about the sustainability of this going forward, but maybe therein lies the opportunity? But be aware the NAV and revenues here are certainly not set in stone, but in their recent interims when they maintained the interim dividend the company did set out a reasonably positive outlook as follows:

"We remain confident in the long-term demand fundamentals for base metals and bulk commodities, which should positively impact on Anglo Pacific's royalty portfolio. We continue to be confident in our ability to acquire additional royalties that will generate strong and sustainable cash flows and allow us not only to improve our dividend cover, but also to increase our dividends per share in the longer-term.

In the short term, the outlook for the remainder of 2014 remains subdued and the Group expects lower adjusted earnings until production from Kestrel returns to our private royalty lands in the second half of 2015. The current price environment in our targeted commodities, coupled with limited financing avenues for operators in this sector, presents opportunities for the Group to grow our royalty portfolio. Your Group remains debt free and, along with a committed dividend policy, remains a lower risk, mining focused investment for investors who believe in long-term global GDP growth."


Stock is up 12% this morning on the back of the announcement so may not be the best day to buy it but might be one to put on your watch list and pick up if it drifts off again especially as they do not go XD the interim of 4.45 pence until 27th November 2014.

0 Comments

Getting Income from base metals, property, water and waste.

3/6/2014

2 Comments

 
A note for you today on three stocks that provide income underpinned by different assets / operations. Yesterday we had Anglo Pacific (APF) which from its announcement about a placing describes itself as: 

"A global mining royalty company. The Company's vision is to create a leading international diversified royalty company with a focus on base metals and bulk materials. The Company's strategy is to build a diversified portfolio of royalties, focusing on accelerating income growth through acquiring royalties in cash or near-term cash producing assets. It is an objective of the Company to pay a substantial portion of these royalties to shareholders as dividends. Further details can be found on the Company's website at www.anglopacificgroup.com."

In the announcements yesterday they raised gross proceeds of £10 million by placing shares representing about 5% of their issued share capital at 180 pence. The recently appointed executives and directors also subscribed and now own around 9% of the equity between them. This was done to help finance the acquisition of a royalty in something called the Maracás Vanadium Project for up to $25 million, for which they get a 2% net smelter return royalty interest on all mineral products sold from the area of the Maracás Project to which the royalty interest relates. This is in line with the new managements strategy of expanding their portfolio with high quality base metals and bulk commodity mining projects that have existing or near-term production. You can download a presentation about this acquisition here and about investing in royalties and the new management team's strategy here.

I like this one as it is a way of playing commodities but with reduced cost risks as their royalties tend to be related to production volumes, although obviously production outages or delays are a risk. It trades at a small discount to its year end book value of 196 pence and offers a decent 5.7% yield, although it is not very well covered or forecast to grow that much in the short term, but it has grown by 5.5% per annum over the last five years.

Meanwhile moving on to today we had a final results announcement from LondonMetric (LMP) a UK property REIT which has invested in commercial and residential property in the past. In the last year or so they have now shifted the emphasis of the portfolio to out of town retail and distribution assets. The highly experience Chairman Patrick Vaughan commented on the property market outlook by saying: 
"I believe we are somewhere in the middle of the cycle for UK commercial property in which an improving economy, the availability of reasonably priced credit and strong competition for supply makes the investment market very competitive, but I am confident that we will maintain a high level of investment and build on the activity this year for future outperformance and further excellent returns for our shareholders."
The NAV on this one (a key metric for property related shares) came in at 121 pence up by 11 to 12% so the shares, like many other property companies these days trade at a premium to this, trading at around 145 pence reflecting some of the expected growth to come. The other attraction is the yield which based on the declared unchanged dividend of 7 pence gives a yield of 4.8% which they say is fully covered by contracted rental income. Other key things to watch on these type of funds is the debt or the loan to value ratio which here came in at a reduced level of 32% versus 43% last year and had a weighted average cost of 3.9%. So they should be making a decent return over and above that. The other swing factor is occupancy levels or voids, rental increase potential and lease lengths. They have 99.6% occupancy, 32.6% of rent roll benefiting from fixed uplifts and unexpired leases averaging 12.7 years. So all fairly solid if a little dull, but a reasonable way of getting exposure to commercial property if you want to) with an experienced management team that gives you a decent yield, although it has not grown in the last couple of years but is forecast to edge up by around 2% this coming year.

Finally, today we had Preliminary results from Pennon (PNN) the water utility and waste recycling group. Which as it is fairly self explanatory I won't go into too much detail. The headlines were that the regulated side was good and has got it plans for the next regulatory period - K6 approved already. While the waste side Viridor saw profits down around 19% due to difficult market conditions in recycling and investing for future growth especially in energy from waste facilities. They increased the dividend by a useful 6.5% in line with their RPI +4% guidance that has been in place in the current five year regulatory period (K5). We will not know about the future dividend policy until next year as they said: "The Board will review the dividend policy for the K6 period following the Final Determination for South West Water and will make an announcement at the 2014/15 Preliminary Results." So some uncertainty there until things are finalised but at least we know their plans have already been accepted so hopefully their shouldn't be any nasty surprises. Indeed, the last time I wrote on this one I referenced their document about the latest regulatory round which given that their proposals have been accepted, seemed to suggest that they would expect to deliver around 5% dividend growth, which at the current level of starting yield should give a total return of 9% assuming an unchanged rating. So overall another reasonable yield of around 4% from this one but with a little uncertainty as to the level of growth going forward. In fact I was a bit surprised to see it was as low as 4% so I guess it could drift off from here unless there is another bout of demand for defensive stocks.

Any way sorry it was such a boring note today and well done if you got this far - but hey who ever said income investing was exciting? So as a reward if you did get this far see the following which carries on my recent dog theme and sums up what I have been saying here - enjoy, hopefully it will brighten up an otherwise dull day. Note: if you are reading this on the e-mail you may have to visit the site to view it.

2 Comments

    RSS Feed

    Google+

    Archives

    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    August 2019
    June 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017
    September 2017
    August 2017
    July 2017
    May 2017
    April 2017
    March 2017
    February 2017
    January 2017
    December 2016
    November 2016
    October 2016
    September 2016
    August 2016
    July 2016
    June 2016
    May 2016
    April 2016
    March 2016
    February 2016
    January 2016
    December 2015
    November 2015
    October 2015
    September 2015
    August 2015
    July 2015
    June 2015
    May 2015
    April 2015
    March 2015
    February 2015
    January 2015
    December 2014
    November 2014
    October 2014
    September 2014
    August 2014
    July 2014
    June 2014
    May 2014
    April 2014
    March 2014
    February 2014
    January 2014

    Categories

    All
    32Red
    Aberdeen Am
    Admin
    A G Barr
    Alliance Pharma
    Alternative Telecoms
    AMEC
    Amino Technologies
    Amlin
    Anglo Pacific
    Asset Allocation
    Auto Trader Group
    BA Systems
    BATS
    Behavioural Finance
    Bellway
    Berendsen
    BHP Billiton
    Bloomsbury Publishing
    Bodycote
    Books
    Bovis Homes
    BREXIT
    Britvic
    Catlin-group
    Central Asia Metals
    Centrica
    Character Group
    Churchill China
    Cineworld
    City Of London Investment Group
    Clarkson
    Commercial Property
    Compound
    Computacenter
    Connect Group
    Croda
    Currencies
    Demographics
    Diageo
    Diploma
    Directors Dealings
    Dividends
    Easyjet
    Economics
    Emerging Markets
    Emis
    Empiric Student Property
    Etfs
    Fairpoint
    Ferguson
    Ferrexpo
    Finsbury Foods
    Food Retailers
    Forterra
    Games Workshop
    Gateley
    Go Compare
    Goid
    Greene King
    GSK
    Hargreaves Services
    Hays
    Headlam
    Hedge Funds
    Hill & Smith
    House Builders
    Howden
    HSBC
    IG Group
    Imperial Tobacco
    Indivor
    Inflation
    Insurance
    Intermediate Capital
    Interserve
    Investec
    Investment Trusts
    It
    ITV
    James Halstead
    Jarvis Investment Management
    JLT
    Jupiter Fund Management
    KCOM
    Kingfisher
    Legal & General
    Lloyds Bank
    Maintel
    Man Group
    Market Timing Indicator
    Market Valuation
    Marston's
    Matchtec
    Media
    Merlin Entertainment
    Micro Focus
    Mining
    Mitie
    Miton Group
    Moenysupermarket
    Mondi
    Moneysupermaket.com
    Music
    National Grid
    N.Brown
    News
    Next
    Nichols
    Norcros
    Oil
    Page Group
    Paypoint
    Pennon
    Persimmon
    Personal Finance
    Pharmaceuticals
    Phoenix Group
    Photo Me
    Photo-Me
    Plus500
    Podcasts
    Polar Capital
    Politics
    Portfolio
    Portmeirion
    Provident Financial
    PZC
    Qinetiq
    Ramsdens Holdings
    Rank Group
    Reckitt Benckiser
    Renewable Energy
    Renew Holdings
    Renishaw
    Research Papers
    Restaurant Group
    Retailers
    RIO
    RM Group
    Rolls Royce
    RPC
    RPS
    Safestore
    Sage
    Sainsburys
    Savills
    Schroders
    Scores
    SCS Group
    Sell Discipline
    Shareholder Yield
    Share Picks
    Short Interest
    Somero
    Spectris
    Sprue Aegis
    SSE
    Stock Spirits
    S & U Plc
    TalkTalk
    Taptica
    Tax
    Technology
    Telecoms
    Tobacco
    Trading Ideas
    TSB
    TUI
    UK Market Update
    Unilever
    Utilitywise
    Value
    Victrex
    Vodafone
    VP.
    Water Utilities
    WH Smiths
    William Hill
    Wynstay
    XL Media
    XP Power
    Yield
    Zytronic

    googleda4a17cac6d02bb9.html
    File Size: 0 kb
    File Type: html
    Download File

Powered by Create your own unique website with customizable templates.
  • Blog
  • Scores
    • Scores Presentation
  • Portfolio
    • Table of Returns
  • Resources
    • Check list
  • About
  • Contact
  • New Page