November turned out well for investors with a few potentially positive developments and consequently positive returns from equity markets around the world. Firstly there seemed to be some positive developments towards a scaling back of the US / China Trade War, although this was subsequently delayed.
Meanwhile in poor neglected UK there were some hopes of a BREXIT deal being done which then led onto the announcement of a General Election. Now while this introduces another layer of uncertainty into an already cloudy outlook, at least there were some positive looking polls for the Tories. This has led some to believe that they might be able to get a working majority and thereby "Get BREXIT done" as their campaign slogan says.
The upshot of this for the under owned UK market & the more domestic focused sectors found in the Mid Cap and Small Cap sectors, was that they enjoyed stronger gains than the rest of the market and the larger more internationally exposed blue chips as the pound also rallied a little on election / BREXIT resolution hopes. In terms of the UK Market timing signals that I calculate, given the positive returns across the board all the main indices are still above their moving averages signalling that one should remain invested.
Given the news flow and the moves seen in the Mid and Smaller Cap parts of the market these are more bullishly placed than the broader indices. This also helped the Compound Income Scores Portfolio (CISP) to a strong month - see the highlighted links for more details.
In summary the CISP returned 6.5% in the month versus the 2.2% from the FTSE All Share. For the year to date this leaves it with a total return of 21.4% versus 15.3% for the index.
On doing the screening for potential sales and replacements this month proved to be less positive. As the few names that were potential sales looked a bit marginal and I'm inclined to give them the benefit of the doubt for now given the forthcoming General Election and the likely winding down thereafter for Christmas. In addition I struggled to find many attractive looking alternatives that were not already highly rated. So I'll look to do more of a refresh in the New Year.
Talking of which that's probably it from me on here for this year, unless I get any good ideas or have any thoughts I wish to express post the election outcome. But barring that may I take this early opportunity to send Seasons Greetings and I hope that the markets are positive for you too in the next month and next year too for that matter,